Urban Transit Demand Forecast for LRT Expansion

The client is a Malaysian urban transport authority evaluating the expansion of light rail transit routes in a rapidly growing metropolitan region. The objective was to improve mobility, reduce congestion, and optimize public transport investment allocation.

The authority faced uncertainty in passenger demand projections, route prioritization, and integration with existing bus networks. Funding allocation constraints and public sensitivity toward fare adjustments further complicated decision-making.

Eurogroup Consulting delivered a mobility demand forecast and integrated transit planning framework to support data-driven infrastructure decisions.

Our team analyzed population growth trends, commuter patterns, congestion data, and land use development forecasts to estimate future ridership potential. Cost-benefit analyses were conducted to compare alternative route alignments. Integration modeling evaluated connectivity between proposed LRT extensions and feeder bus systems to ensure seamless passenger movement. Fare elasticity assessments were also carried out to determine optimal pricing strategies that balance affordability with operational sustainability. Stakeholder consultations were conducted to incorporate community feedback into route planning.

We recommended phased expansion targeting high-density residential corridors with strong ridership potential. The implementation of integrated ticketing systems was advised to enhance user convenience. A balanced fare structure supported by public communication campaigns was proposed to strengthen adoption.

Projected ridership increased by 30% compared to baseline assumptions, while congestion in targeted corridors declined by 18%. Optimized capital allocation improved investment efficiency by 20%, and public acceptance levels increased significantly following strategic engagement initiatives.